I came across two resources today that might be useful in teaching an economic forecasting course. The first was an article from the Wall Street Journal entitled, “Quantitative Analysis Offers Tools to Predict Likely Terrorist Moves.” WSJ.com is a subscription site, but you might be able to get the article here.
The second resource is a podcast from Pop!tech 2005 by Nassim Nicholas Taleb who discusses the difficulties of accounting for unforeseen factors the cannot be predicted. Very interesting!